Recent official forecasts from European models and Météo-France indicate an unstable, mostly cloudy pattern with scattered showers for Paris on August 27, limiting daytime heating and supporting a peak near 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing from morning lows around 17–20°C under variable southwest flow, with limited breaks of sun potentially allowing brief spikes toward 28°C if convection is delayed. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution around those three outcomes. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 24°C, so current conditions represent modest above-normal warmth tempered by Atlantic moisture. Updated high-resolution runs and observational trends through the morning will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 27?
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
27°C 34%
28°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 10%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
23%
27°C
34%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from European models and Météo-France indicate an unstable, mostly cloudy pattern with scattered showers for Paris on August 27, limiting daytime heating and supporting a peak near 26–27°C. Ensemble guidance shows afternoon temperatures climbing from morning lows around 17–20°C under variable southwest flow, with limited breaks of sun potentially allowing brief spikes toward 28°C if convection is delayed. This aligns with the market’s tight distribution around those three outcomes. Historical climatology places the long-term average high near 24°C, so current conditions represent modest above-normal warmth tempered by Atlantic moisture. Updated high-resolution runs and observational trends through the morning will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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