Persistent high pressure and subsidence across southeast Texas support mostly sunny skies and southwest winds of 5-10 mph for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 101°F and heat indices to 111°F. Recent observations from Houston-area stations show daily maxima of 101-103°F, reflecting above-normal temperatures amid elevated dew points near 70-75°F that limit nocturnal cooling. Model consensus favors continued hot conditions without significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. The market-implied focus on 96-99°F aligns with typical forecast uncertainty ranges for official airport measurements, while probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the slim but plausible upside if subsidence strengthens further. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 25?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 25?
98-99°F 52%
96-97°F 38%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
38%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108°F or higher
1%
98-99°F 52%
96-97°F 38%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
89°F or below
$5 Обс.
2%
90-91°F
$10 Обс.
2%
92-93°F
$10 Обс.
3%
94-95°F
$12 Обс.
4%
96-97°F
$72 Обс.
38%
98-99°F
$42 Обс.
52%
100-101°F
$32 Обс.
10%
102-103°F
$10 Обс.
2%
104-105°F
$10 Обс.
2%
106-107°F
$10 Обс.
1%
108°F or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence across southeast Texas support mostly sunny skies and southwest winds of 5-10 mph for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 101°F and heat indices to 111°F. Recent observations from Houston-area stations show daily maxima of 101-103°F, reflecting above-normal temperatures amid elevated dew points near 70-75°F that limit nocturnal cooling. Model consensus favors continued hot conditions without significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. The market-implied focus on 96-99°F aligns with typical forecast uncertainty ranges for official airport measurements, while probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the slim but plausible upside if subsidence strengthens further. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$201Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and subsidence across southeast Texas support mostly sunny skies and southwest winds of 5-10 mph for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 101°F and heat indices to 111°F. Recent observations from Houston-area stations show daily maxima of 101-103°F, reflecting above-normal temperatures amid elevated dew points near 70-75°F that limit nocturnal cooling. Model consensus favors continued hot conditions without significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. The market-implied focus on 96-99°F aligns with typical forecast uncertainty ranges for official airport measurements, while probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the slim but plausible upside if subsidence strengthens further. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$201Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and subsidence across southeast Texas support mostly sunny skies and southwest winds of 5-10 mph for August 25, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a high near 101°F and heat indices to 111°F. Recent observations from Houston-area stations show daily maxima of 101-103°F, reflecting above-normal temperatures amid elevated dew points near 70-75°F that limit nocturnal cooling. Model consensus favors continued hot conditions without significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover through the period, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture could trim peak readings into the upper 90s. The market-implied focus on 96-99°F aligns with typical forecast uncertainty ranges for official airport measurements, while probabilities for 100°F+ reflect the slim but plausible upside if subsidence strengthens further. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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