Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 26?
35°C 33%
34°C 27%
33°C 21%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
12%
33°C
21%
34°C
27%
35°C
29%
36°C
11%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 33%
34°C 27%
33°C 21%
32°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$5 Обс.
4%
31°C
$0 Обс.
6%
32°C
$0 Обс.
12%
33°C
$5 Обс.
21%
34°C
$23 Обс.
27%
35°C
$5 Обс.
29%
36°C
$11 Обс.
11%
37°C
$0 Обс.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$49Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$49Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts project a potential high near 35°C for Tokyo on August 26 amid an above-normal summer pattern driven by a strengthened Pacific High, though model spreads and possible afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers introduce meaningful uncertainty. Official observations typically reflect the urban heat island effect and localized sea breezes, which can cap or elevate peaks relative to broader regional guidance. With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly around 31–33°C, traders appear focused on the narrow window between baseline climatology near 32°C and modest intensification risks, while awaiting the next suite of high-resolution model runs and updated JMA three-day outlooks to refine resolution probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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