Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 26 project a high near 104°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, amid an ongoing extreme heat warning and heat indices potentially reaching 110°F. This consensus from recent model runs and observations explains the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on 100-101°F, with secondary weighting on 98-99°F (22.5%) and 102-103°F (20.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, localized convection, or station-specific measurements at Dallas/Fort Worth. Westerly winds and high dew points sustaining humidity add variability, while historical August averages near 95°F underscore the anomaly. Updated NWS briefings and any revised model outputs will likely drive near-term shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 26?
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 21%
96-97°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
23%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
21%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 23%
102-103°F 21%
96-97°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
95°F or below
$135 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$999 Обс.
11%
98-99°F
$2,246 Обс.
23%
100-101°F
$624 Обс.
35%
102-103°F
$426 Обс.
21%
104-105°F
$122 Обс.
7%
106-107°F
$166 Обс.
4%
108-109°F
$117 Обс.
1%
110-111°F
$28 Обс.
<1%
112-113°F
$39 Обс.
<1%
114°F or higher
$495 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 26 project a high near 104°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, amid an ongoing extreme heat warning and heat indices potentially reaching 110°F. This consensus from recent model runs and observations explains the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on 100-101°F, with secondary weighting on 98-99°F (22.5%) and 102-103°F (20.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, localized convection, or station-specific measurements at Dallas/Fort Worth. Westerly winds and high dew points sustaining humidity add variability, while historical August averages near 95°F underscore the anomaly. Updated NWS briefings and any revised model outputs will likely drive near-term shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,396Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 26 project a high near 104°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, amid an ongoing extreme heat warning and heat indices potentially reaching 110°F. This consensus from recent model runs and observations explains the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on 100-101°F, with secondary weighting on 98-99°F (22.5%) and 102-103°F (20.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, localized convection, or station-specific measurements at Dallas/Fort Worth. Westerly winds and high dew points sustaining humidity add variability, while historical August averages near 95°F underscore the anomaly. Updated NWS briefings and any revised model outputs will likely drive near-term shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,396Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 26 project a high near 104°F under mostly sunny skies with a 20% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, amid an ongoing extreme heat warning and heat indices potentially reaching 110°F. This consensus from recent model runs and observations explains the market's leading 34.5% implied probability on 100-101°F, with secondary weighting on 98-99°F (22.5%) and 102-103°F (20.5%) reflecting uncertainty in peak timing, localized convection, or station-specific measurements at Dallas/Fort Worth. Westerly winds and high dew points sustaining humidity add variability, while historical August averages near 95°F underscore the anomaly. Updated NWS briefings and any revised model outputs will likely drive near-term shifts in trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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