Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C 35%
28°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
17%
27°C
35%
28°C
25%
29°C
10%
30°C
6%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
28°C 25%
26°C 17%
29°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Обс.
1%
23°C
$8 Обс.
2%
24°C
$15 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
8%
26°C
$112 Обс.
17%
27°C
$106 Обс.
35%
28°C
$7 Обс.
25%
29°C
$67 Обс.
10%
30°C
$44 Обс.
6%
31°C
$5 Обс.
5%
32°C or higher
$5 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France drive the tight clustering around 26–28°C for Paris on August 25, reflecting a post-heatwave transition to cooler northwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Modest model spreads arise from uncertainties in frontal passage timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift daily maxima by 1–2°C, explaining why 27°C leads at 34.5% while adjacent bins remain competitive. These conditions align with late-August climatology near 23–25°C but allow modest upside if clearer skies emerge. Traders monitor upcoming model runs and Météo-France updates for any revisions in wind or cloud patterns ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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