Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 25?
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 23%
31°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
11%
31°C
15%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
23%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 23%
31°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$5 Обс.
2%
29°C
$5 Обс.
2%
30°C
$10 Обс.
11%
31°C
$0 Обс.
15%
32°C
$11 Обс.
30%
33°C
$19 Обс.
31%
34°C
$168 Обс.
23%
35°C or higher
$405 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$622Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$622Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show model spread centered on 32–34°C for Qingdao’s August 25 high, driven by lingering East Asian heat influenced by a strong El Niño that has elevated regional temperatures above climatological norms. Coastal sea breezes and variable humidity levels introduce uncertainty in maximum readings, while urban heat island effects and subsidence under high pressure could push values toward the upper end of the range. The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 32–34°C reflects traders weighing these variables against historical August averages near 29–31°C and upcoming model runs that may refine land-sea temperature contrasts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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