Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
15%
31°C
44%
32°C
26%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
32°C 26%
30°C 15%
33°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
$176 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$256 Обс.
1%
28°C
$0 Обс.
1%
29°C
$17 Обс.
5%
30°C
$334 Обс.
15%
31°C
$191 Обс.
44%
32°C
$102 Обс.
26%
33°C
$0 Обс.
6%
34°C
$74 Обс.
2%
35°C
$20 Обс.
1%
36°C or higher
$179 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,350Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,350Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 23 indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers or drizzle, and southeast winds of 10-20 km/h, which are suppressing maximum temperatures and positioning 31°C as the market leader. Official guidance from multiple models shows daytime highs clustering between 30-32°C amid humid conditions typical of late summer, with rain probability around 60-70% moderating afternoon peaks below seasonal averages of 31-32°C. Trader consensus at 44.5% for 31°C and 25.5% for 32°C reflects this model agreement while acknowledging minor uncertainty from exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 24-48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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