Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on August 25, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest winds of 10-15 mph likely suppressing peak temperatures. Official outlooks point to daytime highs near 29-30°C amid high humidity and frequent rain, consistent with typical August conditions where monsoon moisture limits solar heating. Recent observations, including a 31.5°C reading on August 23 at the Science Garden station, show modest variability possible if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak afternoon heating. With market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30-32°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of uncertainty from timing of showers versus any temporary clearing, ahead of final PAGASA updates and the official daily maximum observation used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 25?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 25?
31°C 31%
32°C 28%
30°C 21%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
8%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
28%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
32°C 28%
30°C 21%
33°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Обс.
2%
27°C
$162 Обс.
2%
28°C
$5 Обс.
3%
29°C
$20 Обс.
8%
30°C
$0 Обс.
21%
31°C
$0 Обс.
31%
32°C
$0 Обс.
28%
33°C
$0 Обс.
14%
34°C
$10 Обс.
2%
35°C
$5 Обс.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on August 25, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest winds of 10-15 mph likely suppressing peak temperatures. Official outlooks point to daytime highs near 29-30°C amid high humidity and frequent rain, consistent with typical August conditions where monsoon moisture limits solar heating. Recent observations, including a 31.5°C reading on August 23 at the Science Garden station, show modest variability possible if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak afternoon heating. With market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30-32°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of uncertainty from timing of showers versus any temporary clearing, ahead of final PAGASA updates and the official daily maximum observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$202Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on August 25, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest winds of 10-15 mph likely suppressing peak temperatures. Official outlooks point to daytime highs near 29-30°C amid high humidity and frequent rain, consistent with typical August conditions where monsoon moisture limits solar heating. Recent observations, including a 31.5°C reading on August 23 at the Science Garden station, show modest variability possible if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak afternoon heating. With market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30-32°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of uncertainty from timing of showers versus any temporary clearing, ahead of final PAGASA updates and the official daily maximum observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$202Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:59 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and global models indicate Manila will remain under southwest monsoon influence on August 25, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest winds of 10-15 mph likely suppressing peak temperatures. Official outlooks point to daytime highs near 29-30°C amid high humidity and frequent rain, consistent with typical August conditions where monsoon moisture limits solar heating. Recent observations, including a 31.5°C reading on August 23 at the Science Garden station, show modest variability possible if breaks in cloud cover occur during peak afternoon heating. With market-implied odds tightly clustered around 30-32°C, traders appear focused on the narrow range of uncertainty from timing of showers versus any temporary clearing, ahead of final PAGASA updates and the official daily maximum observation used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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