Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 24?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 24?
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
27%
31°C
34%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
11%
31°C 34%
30°C 27%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
1%
27°C
$0 Обс.
1%
28°C
$5 Обс.
8%
29°C
$13 Обс.
12%
30°C
$13 Обс.
27%
31°C
$13 Обс.
34%
32°C
$19 Обс.
17%
33°C
$0 Обс.
12%
34°C or higher
$0 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$64Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$64Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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