Traders see roughly equal odds across 23–28°C for Manila’s August 23 low because short-range model guidance remains split on nocturnal cloud cover and rainfall under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Enhanced convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress radiative cooling and keep minimums near 26–27°C, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 24°C or lower. Historical August climatology shows a typical range of 24–26°C, with deviations driven mainly by timing of rain bands and boundary-layer moisture. The next 48-hour runs from global models and local PAGASA updates will likely resolve the spread before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
27°C 19%
24°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
18%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
15%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 19%
26°C 19%
27°C 19%
24°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
21°C or below
$20 Обс.
2%
22°C
$31 Обс.
9%
23°C
$23 Обс.
18%
24°C
$0 Обс.
19%
25°C
$0 Обс.
19%
26°C
$0 Обс.
19%
27°C
$0 Обс.
19%
28°C
$5 Обс.
19%
29°C
$11 Обс.
15%
30°C
$5 Обс.
2%
31°C or higher
$27 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see roughly equal odds across 23–28°C for Manila’s August 23 low because short-range model guidance remains split on nocturnal cloud cover and rainfall under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Enhanced convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress radiative cooling and keep minimums near 26–27°C, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 24°C or lower. Historical August climatology shows a typical range of 24–26°C, with deviations driven mainly by timing of rain bands and boundary-layer moisture. The next 48-hour runs from global models and local PAGASA updates will likely resolve the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$122Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see roughly equal odds across 23–28°C for Manila’s August 23 low because short-range model guidance remains split on nocturnal cloud cover and rainfall under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Enhanced convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress radiative cooling and keep minimums near 26–27°C, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 24°C or lower. Historical August climatology shows a typical range of 24–26°C, with deviations driven mainly by timing of rain bands and boundary-layer moisture. The next 48-hour runs from global models and local PAGASA updates will likely resolve the spread before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$122Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see roughly equal odds across 23–28°C for Manila’s August 23 low because short-range model guidance remains split on nocturnal cloud cover and rainfall under the prevailing southwest monsoon. Enhanced convection tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone can suppress radiative cooling and keep minimums near 26–27°C, while clearer breaks allow greater heat loss and push readings toward 24°C or lower. Historical August climatology shows a typical range of 24–26°C, with deviations driven mainly by timing of rain bands and boundary-layer moisture. The next 48-hour runs from global models and local PAGASA updates will likely resolve the spread before the market settles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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