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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 21

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

27°C 40%

31°C 33%

30°C 30%

28°C 29%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

27°C 40%

31°C 33%

30°C 30%

28°C 29%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

25°C or below

$5 Обс.

4%

26°C

$5 Обс.

19%

27°C

$5 Обс.

40%

28°C

$0 Обс.

29%

29°C

$20 Обс.

23%

30°C

$0 Обс.

30%

31°C

$0 Обс.

33%

32°C

$0 Обс.

19%

33°C

$27 Обс.

<1%

34°C

$0 Обс.

7%

35°C or higher

$0 Обс.

7%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$62
Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, showers, and squally thunderstorms driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong ahead of August 25. Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts currently indicate a daily high near 29°C under south to southwesterly winds of 4–6, with high rainfall probability and humidity of 80–95%. This active pattern contrasts with the seasonal August average high of 31.3°C and ongoing El Niño conditions favoring warmer baselines overall. Model consensus and steering patterns suggest limited daytime clearing, keeping the market-implied odds evenly distributed across temperature thresholds as traders weigh shower timing and any intensification against historical variability in late-summer convective activity.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$62
Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Пов'язане

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?

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icon for Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 22?

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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «31°C» з 33%, далі «30°C» з 30%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Aug 23, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?» — «31°C» з 33%. Наступний — «30°C» з 30%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 25?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.