**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a coastal high near 84–85°F for Los Angeles on August 26, driven by a strong upper-level ridge producing regional heat but offset by persistent southwest onshore flow and marine-layer influence that caps temperatures near the coast.** This positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability, consistent with typical LAX and downtown readings where sea breezes frequently limit peaks below inland values exceeding 100°F. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with average August 26 climatology also centered on 85°F. Final NWS updates and any late marine-layer changes remain the key variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 26?
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 41%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 16%
88-89°F 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
79°F or below
$10 Обс.
2%
80-81°F
$12 Обс.
10%
82-83°F
$213 Обс.
16%
84-85°F
$48 Обс.
41%
86-87°F
$218 Обс.
24%
88-89°F
$50 Обс.
14%
90-91°F
$11 Обс.
3%
92-93°F
$0 Обс.
2%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$0 Обс.
2%
98°F or higher
$108 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a coastal high near 84–85°F for Los Angeles on August 26, driven by a strong upper-level ridge producing regional heat but offset by persistent southwest onshore flow and marine-layer influence that caps temperatures near the coast.**
This positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability, consistent with typical LAX and downtown readings where sea breezes frequently limit peaks below inland values exceeding 100°F. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with average August 26 climatology also centered on 85°F. Final NWS updates and any late marine-layer changes remain the key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$667Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a coastal high near 84–85°F for Los Angeles on August 26, driven by a strong upper-level ridge producing regional heat but offset by persistent southwest onshore flow and marine-layer influence that caps temperatures near the coast.**
This positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability, consistent with typical LAX and downtown readings where sea breezes frequently limit peaks below inland values exceeding 100°F. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with average August 26 climatology also centered on 85°F. Final NWS updates and any late marine-layer changes remain the key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$667Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a coastal high near 84–85°F for Los Angeles on August 26, driven by a strong upper-level ridge producing regional heat but offset by persistent southwest onshore flow and marine-layer influence that caps temperatures near the coast.** This positions the 84–85°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability, consistent with typical LAX and downtown readings where sea breezes frequently limit peaks below inland values exceeding 100°F. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day shifts, with average August 26 climatology also centered on 85°F. Final NWS updates and any late marine-layer changes remain the key variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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