**Forecast consensus from official and commercial sources centers on a high of 106–108°F for Dallas on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southwest winds.** Multiple model runs and National Weather Service guidance indicate peak afternoon temperatures near 107°F, with heat indices potentially reaching 110–112°F amid low humidity. This aligns closely with the all-time August 24 record of 107°F set in 2011 and 2023, while remaining well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 95.5°F. The market-implied odds—48% on 106–107°F, followed by 22% on 104–105°F and 20.5% on 108–109°F—reflect this tight clustering around the expected peak, with traders discounting lower or extreme outcomes given stable guidance and minimal precipitation risk. An ongoing regional heat wave, with similar highs already observed or forecast for August 23, reinforces the setup through strong subsidence and downslope warming. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 24?
106-107°F 49%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 21%
102-103°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
22%
106-107°F
49%
108-109°F
21%
110-111°F
4%
112-113°F
2%
114-115°F
1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 49%
104-105°F 22%
108-109°F 21%
102-103°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
99°F or below
$31 Обс.
1%
100-101°F
$343 Обс.
2%
102-103°F
$5 Обс.
4%
104-105°F
$231 Обс.
22%
106-107°F
$724 Обс.
49%
108-109°F
$28 Обс.
21%
110-111°F
$25 Обс.
4%
112-113°F
$85 Обс.
2%
114-115°F
$36 Обс.
1%
116-117°F
$45 Обс.
<1%
118°F or higher
$81 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and commercial sources centers on a high of 106–108°F for Dallas on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southwest winds.** Multiple model runs and National Weather Service guidance indicate peak afternoon temperatures near 107°F, with heat indices potentially reaching 110–112°F amid low humidity. This aligns closely with the all-time August 24 record of 107°F set in 2011 and 2023, while remaining well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 95.5°F.
The market-implied odds—48% on 106–107°F, followed by 22% on 104–105°F and 20.5% on 108–109°F—reflect this tight clustering around the expected peak, with traders discounting lower or extreme outcomes given stable guidance and minimal precipitation risk. An ongoing regional heat wave, with similar highs already observed or forecast for August 23, reinforces the setup through strong subsidence and downslope warming. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,633Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official and commercial sources centers on a high of 106–108°F for Dallas on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southwest winds.** Multiple model runs and National Weather Service guidance indicate peak afternoon temperatures near 107°F, with heat indices potentially reaching 110–112°F amid low humidity. This aligns closely with the all-time August 24 record of 107°F set in 2011 and 2023, while remaining well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 95.5°F.
The market-implied odds—48% on 106–107°F, followed by 22% on 104–105°F and 20.5% on 108–109°F—reflect this tight clustering around the expected peak, with traders discounting lower or extreme outcomes given stable guidance and minimal precipitation risk. An ongoing regional heat wave, with similar highs already observed or forecast for August 23, reinforces the setup through strong subsidence and downslope warming. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,633Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official and commercial sources centers on a high of 106–108°F for Dallas on August 24, 2026, under persistent high pressure, mostly sunny skies, and light southwest winds.** Multiple model runs and National Weather Service guidance indicate peak afternoon temperatures near 107°F, with heat indices potentially reaching 110–112°F amid low humidity. This aligns closely with the all-time August 24 record of 107°F set in 2011 and 2023, while remaining well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 95.5°F. The market-implied odds—48% on 106–107°F, followed by 22% on 104–105°F and 20.5% on 108–109°F—reflect this tight clustering around the expected peak, with traders discounting lower or extreme outcomes given stable guidance and minimal precipitation risk. An ongoing regional heat wave, with similar highs already observed or forecast for August 23, reinforces the setup through strong subsidence and downslope warming. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 23 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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