Ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31 °C in central Tokyo on August 27. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects modest ensemble spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect. Typical late-August climatology places Tokyo’s average high near 31 °C, while elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures add humidity that can slightly elevate measured peaks. Traders are watching the next model runs and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture ahead of the official JMA station reading that will settle the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
26%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
31°C 29%
30°C 26%
32°C 15%
29°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
27°C or below
$270 Обс.
1%
28°C
$309 Обс.
2%
29°C
$1,302 Обс.
12%
30°C
$1,398 Обс.
26%
31°C
$363 Обс.
29%
32°C
$1,028 Обс.
15%
33°C
$754 Обс.
7%
34°C
$1,133 Обс.
3%
35°C
$258 Обс.
3%
36°C
$1,149 Обс.
1%
37°C or higher
$423 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31 °C in central Tokyo on August 27. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects modest ensemble spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect. Typical late-August climatology places Tokyo’s average high near 31 °C, while elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures add humidity that can slightly elevate measured peaks. Traders are watching the next model runs and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture ahead of the official JMA station reading that will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,387Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31 °C in central Tokyo on August 27. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects modest ensemble spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect. Typical late-August climatology places Tokyo’s average high near 31 °C, while elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures add humidity that can slightly elevate measured peaks. Traders are watching the next model runs and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture ahead of the official JMA station reading that will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$8,387Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern Japan, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31 °C in central Tokyo on August 27. The tight market split between these two outcomes reflects modest ensemble spread driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect. Typical late-August climatology places Tokyo’s average high near 31 °C, while elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures add humidity that can slightly elevate measured peaks. Traders are watching the next model runs and any rapid changes in boundary-layer moisture ahead of the official JMA station reading that will settle the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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