Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity associated with the Pacific high-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo, supporting trader consensus around a 26°C low as the most likely outcome for August 27. Light variable winds and the urban heat island effect from concrete infrastructure further retain warmth, consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing a minimum near 26°C amid 50-70% precipitation chances. Recent model runs and observational trends from late August indicate typical seasonal baselines for minimum temperatures (22-24°C historically) are elevated by moisture and cloudiness, with limited model disagreement on intensification of cooling. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official Tokyo station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
26°C 71%
25°C 15%
23°C 4.0%
24°C 1.3%
НОВЕ
$11,368 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,368 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
76%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 71%
25°C 15%
23°C 4.0%
24°C 1.3%
НОВЕ
$11,368 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,368 Обс.
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$343 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$240 Обс.
1%
23°C
$793 Обс.
4%
24°C
$366 Обс.
1%
25°C
$1,011 Обс.
13%
26°C
$2,486 Обс.
76%
27°C
$4,277 Обс.
1%
28°C
$692 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$873 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$206 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$156 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity associated with the Pacific high-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo, supporting trader consensus around a 26°C low as the most likely outcome for August 27. Light variable winds and the urban heat island effect from concrete infrastructure further retain warmth, consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing a minimum near 26°C amid 50-70% precipitation chances. Recent model runs and observational trends from late August indicate typical seasonal baselines for minimum temperatures (22-24°C historically) are elevated by moisture and cloudiness, with limited model disagreement on intensification of cooling. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official Tokyo station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,368Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity associated with the Pacific high-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo, supporting trader consensus around a 26°C low as the most likely outcome for August 27. Light variable winds and the urban heat island effect from concrete infrastructure further retain warmth, consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing a minimum near 26°C amid 50-70% precipitation chances. Recent model runs and observational trends from late August indicate typical seasonal baselines for minimum temperatures (22-24°C historically) are elevated by moisture and cloudiness, with limited model disagreement on intensification of cooling. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official Tokyo station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,368Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity associated with the Pacific high-pressure system are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Tokyo, supporting trader consensus around a 26°C low as the most likely outcome for August 27. Light variable winds and the urban heat island effect from concrete infrastructure further retain warmth, consistent with Japan Meteorological Agency guidance showing a minimum near 26°C amid 50-70% precipitation chances. Recent model runs and observational trends from late August indicate typical seasonal baselines for minimum temperatures (22-24°C historically) are elevated by moisture and cloudiness, with limited model disagreement on intensification of cooling. Updated forecasts through the evening will refine resolution criteria tied to official Tokyo station readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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