Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Houston's August 26 high near 99°F, aligning with model consensus showing upper 90s to low 100s under a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow. These conditions promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Recent days have delivered consecutive readings near or above 100°F, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s but this heat wave has pushed outcomes higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on the 98–101°F bins as new model runs and afternoon observations approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Houston on August 26?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 26?
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 4%
96-97°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
53%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 53%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 4%
96-97°F 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 26, 2026
91°F or below
$395 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$177 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$240 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$366 Обс.
4%
98-99°F
$1,137 Обс.
53%
100-101°F
$539 Обс.
42%
102-103°F
$226 Обс.
4%
104-105°F
$85 Обс.
3%
106-107°F
$122 Обс.
1%
108-109°F
$301 Обс.
<1%
110°F or higher
$474 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Houston's August 26 high near 99°F, aligning with model consensus showing upper 90s to low 100s under a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow. These conditions promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Recent days have delivered consecutive readings near or above 100°F, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s but this heat wave has pushed outcomes higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on the 98–101°F bins as new model runs and afternoon observations approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,062Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Houston's August 26 high near 99°F, aligning with model consensus showing upper 90s to low 100s under a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow. These conditions promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Recent days have delivered consecutive readings near or above 100°F, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s but this heat wave has pushed outcomes higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on the 98–101°F bins as new model runs and afternoon observations approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,062Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service place Houston's August 26 high near 99°F, aligning with model consensus showing upper 90s to low 100s under a persistent subtropical ridge and light southerly flow. These conditions promote strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or sea-breeze cooling while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Recent days have delivered consecutive readings near or above 100°F, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach the mid-90s but this heat wave has pushed outcomes higher. Ensemble spreads remain modest, concentrating trader-implied probabilities on the 98–101°F bins as new model runs and afternoon observations approach.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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