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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?

Ended: Aug 26

Aug 28

Aug 29

Aug 30

Ended: Aug 26

Aug 28

Aug 29

Aug 30

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$51,681 Обс.

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$51,681 Обс.

22°C or below

$233 Обс.

No

23°C

$1,757 Обс.

No

24°C

$3,094 Обс.

No

25°C

$3,464 Обс.

No

26°C

$8,089 Обс.

Yes

27°C

$2,978 Обс.

No

28°C

$2,914 Обс.

No

29°C

$3,575 Обс.

No

30°C

$9,029 Обс.

No

31°C

$9,376 Обс.

No

32°C or higher

$7,173 Обс.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$51,681
Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$51,681
Дата завершення
Aug 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «26°C» з 100%, далі «22°C or below» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?» згенерував $51.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 24, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?» — «26°C» з 100%. Наступний — «22°C or below» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.