Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds maintained elevated overnight readings well above seasonal norms, with urban heat island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Model forecasts issued days earlier aligned closely with the observed outcome, leaving minimal scope for downward revisions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data corrections or instrument recalibrations by the observatory, both rare for routine minimum temperature reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 28?
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,901 Обс.
$19,901 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.8%
27°C <1%
25°C <1%
29°C <1%
$19,901 Обс.
$19,901 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$273 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$414 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$756 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$1,193 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$3,327 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$2,496 Обс.
1%
28°C
$6,033 Обс.
100%
29°C
$4,352 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$290 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$380 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$388 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds maintained elevated overnight readings well above seasonal norms, with urban heat island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Model forecasts issued days earlier aligned closely with the observed outcome, leaving minimal scope for downward revisions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data corrections or instrument recalibrations by the observatory, both rare for routine minimum temperature reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,901Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds maintained elevated overnight readings well above seasonal norms, with urban heat island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Model forecasts issued days earlier aligned closely with the observed outcome, leaving minimal scope for downward revisions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data corrections or instrument recalibrations by the observatory, both rare for routine minimum temperature reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$19,901Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum of 28°C on August 28, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus at 99.8% implied probability for that exact threshold. Persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds maintained elevated overnight readings well above seasonal norms, with urban heat island effects and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. Model forecasts issued days earlier aligned closely with the observed outcome, leaving minimal scope for downward revisions. The only realistic challenges would involve post-event data corrections or instrument recalibrations by the observatory, both rare for routine minimum temperature reports.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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