**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 Обс.
$23,002 Обс.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$23,002 Обс.
$23,002 Обс.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
**Market-implied odds strongly favor 26°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 31, 2026, reflecting official observational data and late-summer climatology.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers associated with a broad trough and tropical moisture maintained overnight radiative cooling at modest levels, preventing the mercury from falling below 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory. This aligns with typical August minima near 26–27°C under similar disturbed conditions, where enhanced mixing and latent heat release from rain suppress sharp nocturnal drops. Real-time station readings and model consensus corroborated this range throughout the day, producing near-certainty among traders with capital at risk. A realistic challenge would require an unreported localized dip to 24°C at the primary reference station—possible only under clearer skies or revised HKO quality control—but current evidence from multiple automated sites shows no such deviation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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