The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 2?
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
18%
29°C
25%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 25%
30°C 24%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 2, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Обс.
1%
24°C
$0 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
3%
26°C
$7 Обс.
4%
27°C
$20 Обс.
8%
28°C
$0 Обс.
18%
29°C
$0 Обс.
25%
30°C
$0 Обс.
24%
31°C
$19 Обс.
9%
32°C
$5 Обс.
<1%
33°C or higher
$5 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$56Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$56Дата завершення
Sep 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities for 29°C and 30°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on September 2 stem from short-term forecast model divergence under transitional early-autumn conditions. Official guidance shows lingering peripheral influences from western Pacific typhoon systems promoting increased cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating, while variable humidity and light northerly winds modulate boundary-layer mixing. Historical baselines place early-September maxima near 29–30°C, with ensemble spreads often differing by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in timing of any clearing or precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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