Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Beijing's August 31 maximum will likely reach 28–31°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from peak August warmth. Historical averages near 29°C and recent observations of 30–32°C highs on preceding days support trader focus on the 29–31°C band. Key variables include minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle high-pressure adjustments that could nudge peak readings by 1°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 31?
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
10%
29°C
29%
30°C
30%
31°C
24%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
29°C 29%
31°C 24%
28°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
25°C or below
$14 Обс.
4%
26°C
$0 Обс.
2%
27°C
$1 Обс.
7%
28°C
$27 Обс.
10%
29°C
$120 Обс.
29%
30°C
$68 Обс.
30%
31°C
$9 Обс.
24%
32°C
$47 Обс.
4%
33°C
$0 Обс.
3%
34°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Beijing's August 31 maximum will likely reach 28–31°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from peak August warmth. Historical averages near 29°C and recent observations of 30–32°C highs on preceding days support trader focus on the 29–31°C band. Key variables include minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle high-pressure adjustments that could nudge peak readings by 1°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$287Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Beijing's August 31 maximum will likely reach 28–31°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from peak August warmth. Historical averages near 29°C and recent observations of 30–32°C highs on preceding days support trader focus on the 29–31°C band. Key variables include minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle high-pressure adjustments that could nudge peak readings by 1°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$287Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Beijing's August 31 maximum will likely reach 28–31°C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from peak August warmth. Historical averages near 29°C and recent observations of 30–32°C highs on preceding days support trader focus on the 29–31°C band. Key variables include minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle high-pressure adjustments that could nudge peak readings by 1°C. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model cycles will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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