**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the most likely daily maximum.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and others converge on a high near 27–29°C under overcast skies and periods of rain, well below the late-August climatological average of around 31°C. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud decks, combined with onshore winds advecting cooler marine air, limits afternoon warming despite typical seasonal humidity levels above 60%. Recent model runs show consistent signals of a frontal or disturbed pattern keeping temperatures capped, with minimal risk of clearing that could push readings toward 30°C or higher. This scientific consensus—emphasizing verified forecast parameters like cloud fraction, precipitation probability, and wind direction—underpins the market-implied probabilities, where traders assign the highest weight to 27°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (28.5%). Newer model updates or observed clearing could still shift outcomes within the narrow 26–29°C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
27°C 42%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
$11,048 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,048 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
42%
28°C
29%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
НОВЕ
$11,048 Обс.
НОВЕ
$11,048 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,191 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$598 Обс.
1%
25°C
$391 Обс.
6%
26°C
$2,486 Обс.
15%
27°C
$1,227 Обс.
42%
28°C
$1,069 Обс.
29%
29°C
$1,423 Обс.
9%
30°C
$888 Обс.
3%
31°C
$115 Обс.
2%
32°C or higher
$408 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the most likely daily maximum.**
Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and others converge on a high near 27–29°C under overcast skies and periods of rain, well below the late-August climatological average of around 31°C. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud decks, combined with onshore winds advecting cooler marine air, limits afternoon warming despite typical seasonal humidity levels above 60%.
Recent model runs show consistent signals of a frontal or disturbed pattern keeping temperatures capped, with minimal risk of clearing that could push readings toward 30°C or higher. This scientific consensus—emphasizing verified forecast parameters like cloud fraction, precipitation probability, and wind direction—underpins the market-implied probabilities, where traders assign the highest weight to 27°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (28.5%). Newer model updates or observed clearing could still shift outcomes within the narrow 26–29°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,048Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the most likely daily maximum.**
Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and others converge on a high near 27–29°C under overcast skies and periods of rain, well below the late-August climatological average of around 31°C. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud decks, combined with onshore winds advecting cooler marine air, limits afternoon warming despite typical seasonal humidity levels above 60%.
Recent model runs show consistent signals of a frontal or disturbed pattern keeping temperatures capped, with minimal risk of clearing that could push readings toward 30°C or higher. This scientific consensus—emphasizing verified forecast parameters like cloud fraction, precipitation probability, and wind direction—underpins the market-implied probabilities, where traders assign the highest weight to 27°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (28.5%). Newer model updates or observed clearing could still shift outcomes within the narrow 26–29°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$11,048Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the most likely daily maximum.** Multiple forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and others converge on a high near 27–29°C under overcast skies and periods of rain, well below the late-August climatological average of around 31°C. Reduced solar insolation from thick cloud decks, combined with onshore winds advecting cooler marine air, limits afternoon warming despite typical seasonal humidity levels above 60%. Recent model runs show consistent signals of a frontal or disturbed pattern keeping temperatures capped, with minimal risk of clearing that could push readings toward 30°C or higher. This scientific consensus—emphasizing verified forecast parameters like cloud fraction, precipitation probability, and wind direction—underpins the market-implied probabilities, where traders assign the highest weight to 27°C (39.5%) followed by 28°C (28.5%). Newer model updates or observed clearing could still shift outcomes within the narrow 26–29°C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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