Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a partly cloudy or overcast day on August 27 with a high in the upper 60s to low-to-mid 70s, driven by the persistent summer marine layer of cool, moist air advected onshore by westerly winds off the 50–56°F Pacific. This layer, capped by subsidence from the North Pacific High and reinforced by the California Current and coastal upwelling, suppresses solar heating and limits afternoon warming across San Francisco’s varied terrain. Modest inland high pressure has allowed slight clearing potential without triggering offshore flow or a thermal low strong enough for significant heat, keeping extremes above 78°F low-probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology (average high near 70°F) support the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 70–77°F, with microclimate differences in fog burn-off timing and elevation creating the main uncertainty in exact daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 27?
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 20%
70-71°F 20%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 26%
72-73°F 25%
76-77°F 20%
70-71°F 20%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts point to a partly cloudy or overcast day on August 27 with a high in the upper 60s to low-to-mid 70s, driven by the persistent summer marine layer of cool, moist air advected onshore by westerly winds off the 50–56°F Pacific. This layer, capped by subsidence from the North Pacific High and reinforced by the California Current and coastal upwelling, suppresses solar heating and limits afternoon warming across San Francisco’s varied terrain. Modest inland high pressure has allowed slight clearing potential without triggering offshore flow or a thermal low strong enough for significant heat, keeping extremes above 78°F low-probability. Model consensus and historical August climatology (average high near 70°F) support the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around 70–77°F, with microclimate differences in fog burn-off timing and elevation creating the main uncertainty in exact daily maximum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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