Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project Tokyo's overnight low on August 29 around 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under humid conditions. These factors reduce the typical August diurnal range, with dew points near 20°C sustaining mild minimums. Trader consensus clusters on 21–22°C because ensemble runs show minor divergences in rain timing and wind strength that could shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August minima average near 23°C. Updated model outputs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 29?
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
24°C 8%
19°C or below 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
27%
24°C
8%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
24°C 8%
19°C or below 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
19°C or below
$211 Обс.
3%
20°C
$44 Обс.
8%
21°C
$225 Обс.
38%
22°C
$182 Обс.
38%
23°C
$440 Обс.
27%
24°C
$531 Обс.
8%
25°C
$601 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$532 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$288 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$278 Обс.
<1%
29°C or higher
$212 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project Tokyo's overnight low on August 29 around 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under humid conditions. These factors reduce the typical August diurnal range, with dew points near 20°C sustaining mild minimums. Trader consensus clusters on 21–22°C because ensemble runs show minor divergences in rain timing and wind strength that could shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August minima average near 23°C. Updated model outputs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,545Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project Tokyo's overnight low on August 29 around 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under humid conditions. These factors reduce the typical August diurnal range, with dew points near 20°C sustaining mild minimums. Trader consensus clusters on 21–22°C because ensemble runs show minor divergences in rain timing and wind strength that could shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August minima average near 23°C. Updated model outputs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,545Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources project Tokyo's overnight low on August 29 around 21–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northerly to northeasterly winds, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under humid conditions. These factors reduce the typical August diurnal range, with dew points near 20°C sustaining mild minimums. Trader consensus clusters on 21–22°C because ensemble runs show minor divergences in rain timing and wind strength that could shift the exact low by 1°C, while historical August minima average near 23°C. Updated model outputs and local observations through the night will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання