Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, point to stable high pressure and persistent easterly flow over Buenos Aires through August 30, supporting overnight lows near 10–12 °C with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This climatologically mild pattern for late winter has kept probabilities for extremes like 6 °C or below from surging higher, while small differences in model timing of any subtle cooling produce the tight clustering around 41–48 % for 6–9 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus guidance against the inherent uncertainty range in 48-hour minimum-temperature predictions, which can shift several degrees with updated runs or slight changes in boundary-layer moisture.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
6°C or below 47%
8°C 46%
13°C 45%
9°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
47%
7°C
44%
8°C
46%
9°C
44%
10°C
27%
11°C
25%
12°C
23%
13°C
45%
14°C
34%
15°C
20%
16°C or higher
44%
6°C or below 47%
8°C 46%
13°C 45%
9°C 44%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Обс.
47%
7°C
$0 Обс.
44%
8°C
$0 Обс.
46%
9°C
$0 Обс.
44%
10°C
$0 Обс.
27%
11°C
$0 Обс.
25%
12°C
$0 Обс.
23%
13°C
$15 Обс.
45%
14°C
$15 Обс.
34%
15°C
$15 Обс.
20%
16°C or higher
$15 Обс.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, point to stable high pressure and persistent easterly flow over Buenos Aires through August 30, supporting overnight lows near 10–12 °C with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This climatologically mild pattern for late winter has kept probabilities for extremes like 6 °C or below from surging higher, while small differences in model timing of any subtle cooling produce the tight clustering around 41–48 % for 6–9 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus guidance against the inherent uncertainty range in 48-hour minimum-temperature predictions, which can shift several degrees with updated runs or slight changes in boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, point to stable high pressure and persistent easterly flow over Buenos Aires through August 30, supporting overnight lows near 10–12 °C with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This climatologically mild pattern for late winter has kept probabilities for extremes like 6 °C or below from surging higher, while small differences in model timing of any subtle cooling produce the tight clustering around 41–48 % for 6–9 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus guidance against the inherent uncertainty range in 48-hour minimum-temperature predictions, which can shift several degrees with updated runs or slight changes in boundary-layer moisture.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including those aligned with Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, point to stable high pressure and persistent easterly flow over Buenos Aires through August 30, supporting overnight lows near 10–12 °C with minimal cloud cover and light winds. This climatologically mild pattern for late winter has kept probabilities for extremes like 6 °C or below from surging higher, while small differences in model timing of any subtle cooling produce the tight clustering around 41–48 % for 6–9 °C outcomes. Traders are therefore balancing the consensus guidance against the inherent uncertainty range in 48-hour minimum-temperature predictions, which can shift several degrees with updated runs or slight changes in boundary-layer moisture.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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