Model consensus from sources including NOAA, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates an overnight low near 19°C for São Paulo on August 30, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points around 17–20°C limiting further drops. A preceding warm, dry air mass has kept recent August minima elevated above climatological norms, but stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover tonight support the 19°C outcome (51% implied probability) over cooler scenarios. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around 18–20°C, with any clearer skies or wind shifts potentially testing 17°C or below (40.5%). Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 30?
19°C 52%
27°C or higher 47%
17°C or below 40%
20°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
40%
18°C
36%
19°C
52%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
7%
23°C
5%
24°C
6%
25°C
15%
26°C
15%
27°C or higher
47%
19°C 52%
27°C or higher 47%
17°C or below 40%
20°C 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
17°C or below
$1 Обс.
40%
18°C
$1 Обс.
36%
19°C
$0 Обс.
52%
20°C
$0 Обс.
36%
21°C
$0 Обс.
36%
22°C
$35 Обс.
7%
23°C
$169 Обс.
5%
24°C
$141 Обс.
6%
25°C
$22 Обс.
15%
26°C
$27 Обс.
15%
27°C or higher
$145 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from sources including NOAA, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates an overnight low near 19°C for São Paulo on August 30, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points around 17–20°C limiting further drops. A preceding warm, dry air mass has kept recent August minima elevated above climatological norms, but stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover tonight support the 19°C outcome (51% implied probability) over cooler scenarios. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around 18–20°C, with any clearer skies or wind shifts potentially testing 17°C or below (40.5%). Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$541Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from sources including NOAA, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates an overnight low near 19°C for São Paulo on August 30, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points around 17–20°C limiting further drops. A preceding warm, dry air mass has kept recent August minima elevated above climatological norms, but stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover tonight support the 19°C outcome (51% implied probability) over cooler scenarios. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around 18–20°C, with any clearer skies or wind shifts potentially testing 17°C or below (40.5%). Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$541Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Model consensus from sources including NOAA, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates an overnight low near 19°C for São Paulo on August 30, driven by moderate radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and dew points around 17–20°C limiting further drops. A preceding warm, dry air mass has kept recent August minima elevated above climatological norms, but stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover tonight support the 19°C outcome (51% implied probability) over cooler scenarios. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around 18–20°C, with any clearer skies or wind shifts potentially testing 17°C or below (40.5%). Updated model runs tonight will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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