**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight minimum in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will most likely settle between 19–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22°C and 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. Official and ensemble forecasts (including local analyses from Climatempo and international models) converge on a low near 20–21°C, with some runs dipping to 19°C and others holding at 22°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat effects. Historical climatology for late August supports typical minima around 12–14°C, but persistent warmer-than-average conditions and the absence of a strong cold front this particular night have kept readings elevated. A more significant temperature drop is expected after today as a frontal system arrives. Traders appear to be pricing the most probable outcome near the upper end of the forecast envelope, consistent with the latest hourly observations bottoming in the low 21°C range before dawn. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded minimum at the primary São Paulo station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
22°C 91%
20°C 29%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
9%
19°C
7%
20°C
29%
21°C
38%
22°C
72%
23°C or higher
<1%
22°C 91%
20°C 29%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$32 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$262 Обс.
1%
15°C
$34 Обс.
1%
16°C
$76 Обс.
2%
17°C
$114 Обс.
2%
18°C
$92 Обс.
9%
19°C
$91 Обс.
7%
20°C
$136 Обс.
29%
21°C
$28 Обс.
38%
22°C
$177 Обс.
72%
23°C or higher
$290 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight minimum in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will most likely settle between 19–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22°C and 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius.
Official and ensemble forecasts (including local analyses from Climatempo and international models) converge on a low near 20–21°C, with some runs dipping to 19°C and others holding at 22°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat effects. Historical climatology for late August supports typical minima around 12–14°C, but persistent warmer-than-average conditions and the absence of a strong cold front this particular night have kept readings elevated. A more significant temperature drop is expected after today as a frontal system arrives.
Traders appear to be pricing the most probable outcome near the upper end of the forecast envelope, consistent with the latest hourly observations bottoming in the low 21°C range before dawn. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded minimum at the primary São Paulo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,333Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight minimum in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will most likely settle between 19–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22°C and 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius.
Official and ensemble forecasts (including local analyses from Climatempo and international models) converge on a low near 20–21°C, with some runs dipping to 19°C and others holding at 22°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat effects. Historical climatology for late August supports typical minima around 12–14°C, but persistent warmer-than-average conditions and the absence of a strong cold front this particular night have kept readings elevated. A more significant temperature drop is expected after today as a frontal system arrives.
Traders appear to be pricing the most probable outcome near the upper end of the forecast envelope, consistent with the latest hourly observations bottoming in the low 21°C range before dawn. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded minimum at the primary São Paulo station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,333Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate the overnight minimum in São Paulo on August 29, 2026, will most likely settle between 19–22°C.** This range aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 22°C and 21°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and dew points in the mid-teens Celsius. Official and ensemble forecasts (including local analyses from Climatempo and international models) converge on a low near 20–21°C, with some runs dipping to 19°C and others holding at 22°C depending on exact cloud cover and urban heat effects. Historical climatology for late August supports typical minima around 12–14°C, but persistent warmer-than-average conditions and the absence of a strong cold front this particular night have kept readings elevated. A more significant temperature drop is expected after today as a frontal system arrives. Traders appear to be pricing the most probable outcome near the upper end of the forecast envelope, consistent with the latest hourly observations bottoming in the low 21°C range before dawn. Resolution will hinge on the official recorded minimum at the primary São Paulo station.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання