**Recent model consensus and the shift to northerly flow are the main drivers behind the current market-implied odds favoring 28–30 °C highs for Qingdao on August 29, 2026.** Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple global forecasts (including central meteorological station outputs) point to a high of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. The transition from southeasterly to northerly winds (3–4 Beaufort, gustier in showers) is expected to advect slightly cooler, drier air, moderating peak temperatures relative to the preceding days when readings reached 29–30 °C. Coastal marine influence and the 40–50 % chance of precipitation further cap daytime maxima, consistent with the 36.5 % probability attached to 29 °C and the combined 43.5 % on 28–30 °C. Longer-range August climatology for Qingdao shows typical late-month highs near 29–30 °C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cooling signal rather than an extreme deviation. Updated model runs and any revision to the precipitation or wind forecast in the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 29?
29°C 37%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
9%
28°C
21%
29°C
37%
30°C
23%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 23%
28°C 21%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$198 Обс.
1%
26°C
$5 Обс.
2%
27°C
$520 Обс.
9%
28°C
$389 Обс.
21%
29°C
$1,257 Обс.
37%
30°C
$235 Обс.
23%
31°C
$392 Обс.
10%
32°C
$152 Обс.
4%
33°C
$178 Обс.
1%
34°C
$471 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$534 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and the shift to northerly flow are the main drivers behind the current market-implied odds favoring 28–30 °C highs for Qingdao on August 29, 2026.**
Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple global forecasts (including central meteorological station outputs) point to a high of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. The transition from southeasterly to northerly winds (3–4 Beaufort, gustier in showers) is expected to advect slightly cooler, drier air, moderating peak temperatures relative to the preceding days when readings reached 29–30 °C. Coastal marine influence and the 40–50 % chance of precipitation further cap daytime maxima, consistent with the 36.5 % probability attached to 29 °C and the combined 43.5 % on 28–30 °C.
Longer-range August climatology for Qingdao shows typical late-month highs near 29–30 °C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cooling signal rather than an extreme deviation. Updated model runs and any revision to the precipitation or wind forecast in the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,331Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and the shift to northerly flow are the main drivers behind the current market-implied odds favoring 28–30 °C highs for Qingdao on August 29, 2026.**
Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple global forecasts (including central meteorological station outputs) point to a high of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. The transition from southeasterly to northerly winds (3–4 Beaufort, gustier in showers) is expected to advect slightly cooler, drier air, moderating peak temperatures relative to the preceding days when readings reached 29–30 °C. Coastal marine influence and the 40–50 % chance of precipitation further cap daytime maxima, consistent with the 36.5 % probability attached to 29 °C and the combined 43.5 % on 28–30 °C.
Longer-range August climatology for Qingdao shows typical late-month highs near 29–30 °C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cooling signal rather than an extreme deviation. Updated model runs and any revision to the precipitation or wind forecast in the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,331Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model consensus and the shift to northerly flow are the main drivers behind the current market-implied odds favoring 28–30 °C highs for Qingdao on August 29, 2026.** Official Chinese meteorological guidance and multiple global forecasts (including central meteorological station outputs) point to a high of 29–31 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered showers or thunderstorms. The transition from southeasterly to northerly winds (3–4 Beaufort, gustier in showers) is expected to advect slightly cooler, drier air, moderating peak temperatures relative to the preceding days when readings reached 29–30 °C. Coastal marine influence and the 40–50 % chance of precipitation further cap daytime maxima, consistent with the 36.5 % probability attached to 29 °C and the combined 43.5 % on 28–30 °C. Longer-range August climatology for Qingdao shows typical late-month highs near 29–30 °C, so the current positioning reflects a modest cooling signal rather than an extreme deviation. Updated model runs and any revision to the precipitation or wind forecast in the next 24 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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