Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models highlight a building high-pressure system over the Cape region, driving southerly winds and partly cloudy conditions that moderate daytime heating for August 30. This setup favors a maximum temperature of 15–17°C, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 17°C (43%), followed by 16°C and 18°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around the upper end of model outputs amid minor variability from wind patterns and cloud cover. Updated runs in the coming hours could refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 30?
17°C 43%
16°C 22%
18°C 20%
19°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
43%
18°C
20%
19°C
5%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 22%
18°C 20%
19°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$22 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$171 Обс.
1%
14°C
$111 Обс.
2%
15°C
$234 Обс.
5%
16°C
$325 Обс.
22%
17°C
$634 Обс.
43%
18°C
$346 Обс.
20%
19°C
$214 Обс.
5%
20°C
$50 Обс.
1%
21°C
$34 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$136 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models highlight a building high-pressure system over the Cape region, driving southerly winds and partly cloudy conditions that moderate daytime heating for August 30. This setup favors a maximum temperature of 15–17°C, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 17°C (43%), followed by 16°C and 18°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around the upper end of model outputs amid minor variability from wind patterns and cloud cover. Updated runs in the coming hours could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,263Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models highlight a building high-pressure system over the Cape region, driving southerly winds and partly cloudy conditions that moderate daytime heating for August 30. This setup favors a maximum temperature of 15–17°C, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 17°C (43%), followed by 16°C and 18°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around the upper end of model outputs amid minor variability from wind patterns and cloud cover. Updated runs in the coming hours could refine these odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,263Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and local models highlight a building high-pressure system over the Cape region, driving southerly winds and partly cloudy conditions that moderate daytime heating for August 30. This setup favors a maximum temperature of 15–17°C, consistent with typical late-winter climatology and ensemble guidance showing limited warming potential. Traders have concentrated implied probabilities on 17°C (43%), followed by 16°C and 18°C, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus around the upper end of model outputs amid minor variability from wind patterns and cloud cover. Updated runs in the coming hours could refine these odds before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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