Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 16–18°C in Cape Town on August 29, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds ahead of an approaching cold front are advecting cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, while increased cloud cover limits daytime solar heating and reduces the diurnal range typical of the region's Mediterranean winter climate. Historical August maxima average around 17°C, with variability driven by the precise timing of frontal passage and low-level moisture. Minor model differences in wind strength and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 17°C and 19°C probabilities, as stronger onshore flow favors the lower end. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 29?
18°C 35%
17°C 30%
19°C 17%
16°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
30%
18°C
35%
19°C
17%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
1%
18°C 35%
17°C 30%
19°C 17%
16°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
12°C or below
$29 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$109 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$159 Обс.
2%
15°C
$52 Обс.
4%
16°C
$315 Обс.
7%
17°C
$72 Обс.
30%
18°C
$296 Обс.
35%
19°C
$499 Обс.
17%
20°C
$223 Обс.
5%
21°C
$97 Обс.
3%
22°C or higher
$87 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 16–18°C in Cape Town on August 29, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds ahead of an approaching cold front are advecting cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, while increased cloud cover limits daytime solar heating and reduces the diurnal range typical of the region's Mediterranean winter climate. Historical August maxima average around 17°C, with variability driven by the precise timing of frontal passage and low-level moisture. Minor model differences in wind strength and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 17°C and 19°C probabilities, as stronger onshore flow favors the lower end. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,938Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 16–18°C in Cape Town on August 29, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds ahead of an approaching cold front are advecting cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, while increased cloud cover limits daytime solar heating and reduces the diurnal range typical of the region's Mediterranean winter climate. Historical August maxima average around 17°C, with variability driven by the precise timing of frontal passage and low-level moisture. Minor model differences in wind strength and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 17°C and 19°C probabilities, as stronger onshore flow favors the lower end. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,938Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 16–18°C in Cape Town on August 29, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Southerly winds ahead of an approaching cold front are advecting cooler maritime air from the Benguela Current, while increased cloud cover limits daytime solar heating and reduces the diurnal range typical of the region's Mediterranean winter climate. Historical August maxima average around 17°C, with variability driven by the precise timing of frontal passage and low-level moisture. Minor model differences in wind strength and cloud thickness create the narrow spread between 17°C and 19°C probabilities, as stronger onshore flow favors the lower end. Updated NHC-style guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will likely resolve the leading outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання