NWS forecasts and real-time observations drive trader consensus toward the 66–69°F range for San Francisco’s August 29 high, with marine-layer persistence and strong onshore westerlies (10–20 mph) capping daytime heating. Cool Pacific waters near 55–58°F, reinforced by coastal upwelling and the California Current, suppress warming despite partly cloudy skies that may allow brief afternoon sun. Recent model runs show limited divergence, keeping implied probabilities closely split between 66–67°F and 68–69°F while discounting outliers above 70°F or below 64°F. Official resolution uses the NOAA SFO station reading, and any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge the peak within the favored bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 29?
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 19%
62-63°F 10%
НОВЕ
$14,903 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,903 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 35%
66-67°F 33%
64-65°F 19%
62-63°F 10%
НОВЕ
$14,903 Обс.
НОВЕ
$14,903 Обс.
Aug 29, 2026
57°F or below
$188 Обс.
<1%
58-59°F
$168 Обс.
<1%
60-61°F
$129 Обс.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,279 Обс.
10%
64-65°F
$3,021 Обс.
19%
66-67°F
$3,067 Обс.
33%
68-69°F
$2,757 Обс.
35%
70-71°F
$2,214 Обс.
6%
72-73°F
$587 Обс.
1%
74-75°F
$244 Обс.
1%
76°F or higher
$248 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts and real-time observations drive trader consensus toward the 66–69°F range for San Francisco’s August 29 high, with marine-layer persistence and strong onshore westerlies (10–20 mph) capping daytime heating. Cool Pacific waters near 55–58°F, reinforced by coastal upwelling and the California Current, suppress warming despite partly cloudy skies that may allow brief afternoon sun. Recent model runs show limited divergence, keeping implied probabilities closely split between 66–67°F and 68–69°F while discounting outliers above 70°F or below 64°F. Official resolution uses the NOAA SFO station reading, and any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge the peak within the favored bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,903Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts and real-time observations drive trader consensus toward the 66–69°F range for San Francisco’s August 29 high, with marine-layer persistence and strong onshore westerlies (10–20 mph) capping daytime heating. Cool Pacific waters near 55–58°F, reinforced by coastal upwelling and the California Current, suppress warming despite partly cloudy skies that may allow brief afternoon sun. Recent model runs show limited divergence, keeping implied probabilities closely split between 66–67°F and 68–69°F while discounting outliers above 70°F or below 64°F. Official resolution uses the NOAA SFO station reading, and any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge the peak within the favored bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$14,903Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts and real-time observations drive trader consensus toward the 66–69°F range for San Francisco’s August 29 high, with marine-layer persistence and strong onshore westerlies (10–20 mph) capping daytime heating. Cool Pacific waters near 55–58°F, reinforced by coastal upwelling and the California Current, suppress warming despite partly cloudy skies that may allow brief afternoon sun. Recent model runs show limited divergence, keeping implied probabilities closely split between 66–67°F and 68–69°F while discounting outliers above 70°F or below 64°F. Official resolution uses the NOAA SFO station reading, and any late-day clearing or wind shift could nudge the peak within the favored bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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