Recent forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international agencies point to a high of 16–18 °C for Cape Town on 31 August under clearing skies and light southerly flow. This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and typical late-winter high-pressure ridging that suppresses daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-August peaks near 25 °C, with stable conditions and minimal cloud cover expected to limit convective warming. Traders appear to discount warmer outliers above 20 °C given the current model consensus and absence of warm advection signals ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
17°C 40%
18°C 28%
15°C 23%
20°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
23%
16°C
19%
17°C
40%
18°C
28%
19°C
11%
20°C
22%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
18°C 28%
15°C 23%
20°C 22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Обс.
4%
13°C
$0 Обс.
4%
14°C
$0 Обс.
2%
15°C
$0 Обс.
23%
16°C
$27 Обс.
19%
17°C
$44 Обс.
40%
18°C
$0 Обс.
28%
19°C
$221 Обс.
11%
20°C
$0 Обс.
22%
21°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international agencies point to a high of 16–18 °C for Cape Town on 31 August under clearing skies and light southerly flow. This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and typical late-winter high-pressure ridging that suppresses daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-August peaks near 25 °C, with stable conditions and minimal cloud cover expected to limit convective warming. Traders appear to discount warmer outliers above 20 °C given the current model consensus and absence of warm advection signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$292Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international agencies point to a high of 16–18 °C for Cape Town on 31 August under clearing skies and light southerly flow. This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and typical late-winter high-pressure ridging that suppresses daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-August peaks near 25 °C, with stable conditions and minimal cloud cover expected to limit convective warming. Traders appear to discount warmer outliers above 20 °C given the current model consensus and absence of warm advection signals ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$292Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the South African Weather Service and international agencies point to a high of 16–18 °C for Cape Town on 31 August under clearing skies and light southerly flow. This range aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 17 °C (37.5 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting the moderating influence of the cold Benguela Current and typical late-winter high-pressure ridging that suppresses daytime heating. Recent observations show a cooling trend after mid-August peaks near 25 °C, with stable conditions and minimal cloud cover expected to limit convective warming. Traders appear to discount warmer outliers above 20 °C given the current model consensus and absence of warm advection signals ahead of the date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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