Recent model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by a persistent moist southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime insolation and radiative heating. Afternoon peaks are expected near 19–20°C under these conditions, with heavier rainfall episodes further suppressing temperatures below clearer-sky climatological norms for late August. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, favoring 20°C as the mode while assigning meaningful probability to 19°C or 21°C depending on exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour forecast window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
20°C 46%
19°C 27%
21°C 18%
18°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
8%
18°C
12%
19°C
27%
20°C
46%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 46%
19°C 27%
21°C 18%
18°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$61 Обс.
1%
17°C
$0 Обс.
8%
18°C
$0 Обс.
12%
19°C
$2 Обс.
27%
20°C
$39 Обс.
46%
21°C
$10 Обс.
18%
22°C
$3 Обс.
3%
23°C
$0 Обс.
2%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by a persistent moist southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime insolation and radiative heating. Afternoon peaks are expected near 19–20°C under these conditions, with heavier rainfall episodes further suppressing temperatures below clearer-sky climatological norms for late August. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, favoring 20°C as the mode while assigning meaningful probability to 19°C or 21°C depending on exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$115Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by a persistent moist southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime insolation and radiative heating. Afternoon peaks are expected near 19–20°C under these conditions, with heavier rainfall episodes further suppressing temperatures below clearer-sky climatological norms for late August. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, favoring 20°C as the mode while assigning meaningful probability to 19°C or 21°C depending on exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour forecast window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$115Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and KNMI consensus indicate a maximum temperature of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by a persistent moist southwesterly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit daytime insolation and radiative heating. Afternoon peaks are expected near 19–20°C under these conditions, with heavier rainfall episodes further suppressing temperatures below clearer-sky climatological norms for late August. Market-implied odds align closely with this guidance, favoring 20°C as the mode while assigning meaningful probability to 19°C or 21°C depending on exact convective timing and any last-minute model shifts in the 48-hour forecast window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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