Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing will reach a daytime high of 31–32°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology when Beijing averages near 30°C. Model agreement is strong on minimal moisture advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly bounded and explaining why 31°C holds the highest market-implied probability while nearby outcomes like 30°C and 32°C remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 32%
32°C 24%
30°C 18%
33°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate Beijing will reach a daytime high of 31–32°C on August 29 under mostly sunny skies and light northwest winds. This consensus stems from stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, consistent with late-August climatology when Beijing averages near 30°C. Model agreement is strong on minimal moisture advection, keeping the peak temperature tightly bounded and explaining why 31°C holds the highest market-implied probability while nearby outcomes like 30°C and 32°C remain competitive amid typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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