Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s °F for Los Angeles on August 29, driven by a persistent marine layer with moderate depth and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. Elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heat wave have raised boundary-layer humidity, elevating minimum temperatures relative to climatological norms around 65 °F and reducing the likelihood of sub-66 °F readings. Traders have priced the 65 °F-or-below outcome at 44 % implied probability while clustering near 66–69 °F brackets, reflecting the narrow forecast spread ahead of tonight’s final model runs and any late-day Catalina eddy development that could further moderate coastal cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 29?
65°F or below 85%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
85%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
8%
84°F or higher
1%
65°F or below 85%
68-69°F 26%
70-71°F 26%
66-67°F 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
65°F or below
$27 Обс.
85%
66-67°F
$10 Обс.
26%
68-69°F
$0 Обс.
26%
70-71°F
$0 Обс.
26%
72-73°F
$16 Обс.
29%
74-75°F
$24 Обс.
30%
76-77°F
$15 Обс.
2%
78-79°F
$5 Обс.
2%
80-81°F
$12 Обс.
8%
82-83°F
$5 Обс.
8%
84°F or higher
$16 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s °F for Los Angeles on August 29, driven by a persistent marine layer with moderate depth and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. Elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heat wave have raised boundary-layer humidity, elevating minimum temperatures relative to climatological norms around 65 °F and reducing the likelihood of sub-66 °F readings. Traders have priced the 65 °F-or-below outcome at 44 % implied probability while clustering near 66–69 °F brackets, reflecting the narrow forecast spread ahead of tonight’s final model runs and any late-day Catalina eddy development that could further moderate coastal cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s °F for Los Angeles on August 29, driven by a persistent marine layer with moderate depth and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. Elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heat wave have raised boundary-layer humidity, elevating minimum temperatures relative to climatological norms around 65 °F and reducing the likelihood of sub-66 °F readings. Traders have priced the 65 °F-or-below outcome at 44 % implied probability while clustering near 66–69 °F brackets, reflecting the narrow forecast spread ahead of tonight’s final model runs and any late-day Catalina eddy development that could further moderate coastal cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$130Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to an overnight low in the mid-to-upper 60s °F for Los Angeles on August 29, driven by a persistent marine layer with moderate depth and onshore flow that limits radiational cooling. Elevated Pacific sea-surface temperatures from the ongoing marine heat wave have raised boundary-layer humidity, elevating minimum temperatures relative to climatological norms around 65 °F and reducing the likelihood of sub-66 °F readings. Traders have priced the 65 °F-or-below outcome at 44 % implied probability while clustering near 66–69 °F brackets, reflecting the narrow forecast spread ahead of tonight’s final model runs and any late-day Catalina eddy development that could further moderate coastal cooling.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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