Current National Weather Service guidance projects a sunny Sunday high near 99°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under persistent upper-level ridging, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or afternoon convection. This places the most likely peak in the 98–101°F window that dominates market shares, with 98–99°F edging ahead due to ensemble consensus and recent model runs showing only modest boundary-layer mixing. Subtle differences between the two leading bins hinge on exact timing of peak insolation versus any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could shave a degree or two, while the low-probability 102°F+ tail reflects historical late-August variability rather than current model signals. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs expected tomorrow will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 30?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 30?
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
33%
102-103°F
8%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 41%
100-101°F 33%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
89°F or below
$250 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$72 Обс.
1%
92-93°F
$15 Обс.
3%
94-95°F
$0 Обс.
6%
96-97°F
$17 Обс.
16%
98-99°F
$2,006 Обс.
41%
100-101°F
$202 Обс.
33%
102-103°F
$41 Обс.
8%
104-105°F
$0 Обс.
3%
106-107°F
$41 Обс.
<1%
108°F or higher
$57 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance projects a sunny Sunday high near 99°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under persistent upper-level ridging, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or afternoon convection. This places the most likely peak in the 98–101°F window that dominates market shares, with 98–99°F edging ahead due to ensemble consensus and recent model runs showing only modest boundary-layer mixing. Subtle differences between the two leading bins hinge on exact timing of peak insolation versus any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could shave a degree or two, while the low-probability 102°F+ tail reflects historical late-August variability rather than current model signals. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs expected tomorrow will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,700Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service guidance projects a sunny Sunday high near 99°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under persistent upper-level ridging, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or afternoon convection. This places the most likely peak in the 98–101°F window that dominates market shares, with 98–99°F edging ahead due to ensemble consensus and recent model runs showing only modest boundary-layer mixing. Subtle differences between the two leading bins hinge on exact timing of peak insolation versus any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could shave a degree or two, while the low-probability 102°F+ tail reflects historical late-August variability rather than current model signals. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs expected tomorrow will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,700Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance projects a sunny Sunday high near 99°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport under persistent upper-level ridging, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover or afternoon convection. This places the most likely peak in the 98–101°F window that dominates market shares, with 98–99°F edging ahead due to ensemble consensus and recent model runs showing only modest boundary-layer mixing. Subtle differences between the two leading bins hinge on exact timing of peak insolation versus any localized sea-breeze or thunderstorm outflow that could shave a degree or two, while the low-probability 102°F+ tail reflects historical late-August variability rather than current model signals. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs expected tomorrow will likely tighten the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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