Persistent cloud cover and high atmospheric humidity in Panama City during the peak of the rainy season are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C minima for August 30. Tropical moisture from the ITCZ sustains mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, reducing net longwave heat loss while elevated dew points near 24–25°C limit the diurnal range; light winds further suppress mixing that could otherwise enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 25°C, but recent model consensus shows minimal clearing overnight, favoring the narrow 1°C spread between the top outcomes over lower or higher thresholds. Updated NHC and local forecasts tonight will refine any last-minute shifts in cloud timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Panama City on August 30?
30°C or higher 78%
20°C or below 59%
22°C 50%
27°C 35%
20°C or below
59%
21°C
8%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
78%
30°C or higher 78%
20°C or below 59%
22°C 50%
27°C 35%
20°C or below
59%
21°C
8%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
27%
26°C
34%
27°C
35%
28°C
26%
29°C
8%
30°C or higher
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and high atmospheric humidity in Panama City during the peak of the rainy season are the dominant factors capping overnight radiative cooling, supporting market-implied odds clustered around 26–27°C minima for August 30. Tropical moisture from the ITCZ sustains mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers, reducing net longwave heat loss while elevated dew points near 24–25°C limit the diurnal range; light winds further suppress mixing that could otherwise enhance cooling. Historical August lows average 25°C, but recent model consensus shows minimal clearing overnight, favoring the narrow 1°C spread between the top outcomes over lower or higher thresholds. Updated NHC and local forecasts tonight will refine any last-minute shifts in cloud timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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