Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–30°C in Chengdu on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, keeping leading market probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences, combined with light northerly winds and high humidity near 70–80%, limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling during precipitation episodes. Official guidance notes 70–85% rain chances that could cap the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the Sichuan Basin average 30–32°C under clearer skies. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the peak temperature threshold and shift trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
29°C 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
15%
28°C
22%
29°C
22%
30°C
17%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 22%
28°C 22%
30°C 17%
27°C 15%
24°C or below
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
15%
28°C
22%
29°C
22%
30°C
17%
31°C
10%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 28–30°C in Chengdu on August 29 amid widespread cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms, keeping leading market probabilities tightly clustered around these outcomes. Persistent moisture from regional monsoon influences, combined with light northerly winds and high humidity near 70–80%, limits surface heating by reducing incoming solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling during precipitation episodes. Official guidance notes 70–85% rain chances that could cap the daily maximum depending on timing and intensity, while historical late-August baselines for the Sichuan Basin average 30–32°C under clearer skies. Updated model runs overnight will likely refine the peak temperature threshold and shift trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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