Recent model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low in Chengdu near 21–24°C on August 29 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and light winds further moderate temperatures, keeping the basin from dropping toward the lower end of historical August ranges. Slight differences among 24–25°C versus 18–20°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of any clearing skies or rainfall intensity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. Trader consensus aligns with the current consensus guidance while pricing in modest model variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
22°C 48%
24°C 46%
25°C 45%
21°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
23%
19°C
23%
20°C
21%
21°C
43%
22°C
48%
23°C
35%
24°C
46%
25°C
45%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
24°C 46%
25°C 45%
21°C 43%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$151 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$5 Обс.
23%
19°C
$5 Обс.
23%
20°C
$64 Обс.
21%
21°C
$16 Обс.
43%
22°C
$0 Обс.
48%
23°C
$0 Обс.
35%
24°C
$0 Обс.
46%
25°C
$0 Обс.
45%
26°C
$65 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low in Chengdu near 21–24°C on August 29 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and light winds further moderate temperatures, keeping the basin from dropping toward the lower end of historical August ranges. Slight differences among 24–25°C versus 18–20°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of any clearing skies or rainfall intensity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. Trader consensus aligns with the current consensus guidance while pricing in modest model variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$335Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low in Chengdu near 21–24°C on August 29 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and light winds further moderate temperatures, keeping the basin from dropping toward the lower end of historical August ranges. Slight differences among 24–25°C versus 18–20°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of any clearing skies or rainfall intensity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. Trader consensus aligns with the current consensus guidance while pricing in modest model variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$335Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low in Chengdu near 21–24°C on August 29 amid lingering monsoon moisture, widespread cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. High humidity and light winds further moderate temperatures, keeping the basin from dropping toward the lower end of historical August ranges. Slight differences among 24–25°C versus 18–20°C outcomes hinge on precise timing of any clearing skies or rainfall intensity, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical forecast uncertainty this close to the observation window. Trader consensus aligns with the current consensus guidance while pricing in modest model variability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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