Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover sustaining peak temperatures near 100–102°F across the Austin metro on August 28, with heat indices potentially reaching 108–109°F amid dew points in the low 70s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range, reflecting limited steering flow and continued advection of warm, moist air from the Gulf under weak high pressure. Historical late-August normals near 95°F underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow spread between 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins in trader pricing highlights uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any isolated convective development that could briefly cap heating. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through midday will refine resolution criteria tied to official Austin-area readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 28?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 28?
100-101°F 43%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 10%
96-97°F 9%
НОВЕ
$12,687 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,687 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 43%
98-99°F 35%
102-103°F 10%
96-97°F 9%
НОВЕ
$12,687 Обс.
НОВЕ
$12,687 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
91°F or below
$734 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$629 Обс.
1%
94-95°F
$181 Обс.
3%
96-97°F
$1,877 Обс.
9%
98-99°F
$2,515 Обс.
35%
100-101°F
$4,116 Обс.
43%
102-103°F
$1,343 Обс.
10%
104-105°F
$503 Обс.
3%
106-107°F
$180 Обс.
<1%
108-109°F
$330 Обс.
<1%
110°F or higher
$280 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover sustaining peak temperatures near 100–102°F across the Austin metro on August 28, with heat indices potentially reaching 108–109°F amid dew points in the low 70s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range, reflecting limited steering flow and continued advection of warm, moist air from the Gulf under weak high pressure. Historical late-August normals near 95°F underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow spread between 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins in trader pricing highlights uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any isolated convective development that could briefly cap heating. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through midday will refine resolution criteria tied to official Austin-area readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,687Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover sustaining peak temperatures near 100–102°F across the Austin metro on August 28, with heat indices potentially reaching 108–109°F amid dew points in the low 70s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range, reflecting limited steering flow and continued advection of warm, moist air from the Gulf under weak high pressure. Historical late-August normals near 95°F underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow spread between 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins in trader pricing highlights uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any isolated convective development that could briefly cap heating. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through midday will refine resolution criteria tied to official Austin-area readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$12,687Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance point to sunny skies, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover sustaining peak temperatures near 100–102°F across the Austin metro on August 28, with heat indices potentially reaching 108–109°F amid dew points in the low 70s. Recent model runs show tight clustering around this range, reflecting limited steering flow and continued advection of warm, moist air from the Gulf under weak high pressure. Historical late-August normals near 95°F underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow spread between 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins in trader pricing highlights uncertainty in exact afternoon maxima, driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any isolated convective development that could briefly cap heating. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly observations through midday will refine resolution criteria tied to official Austin-area readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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