**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101–102°F for Austin on August 27, 2026, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% potentially limiting further warming.** This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 100–101°F (42%) and 102–103°F (25.5%), reflecting recent persistent heat under a strong mid-level ridge and surface flow patterns that have produced 100–105°F readings through late August. Minor model spread arises from timing of any convective development, which could introduce localized cooling or maintain higher readings depending on cloud cover and precipitation. Historical late-August climatology supports highs in this range when storms remain scattered, with heat indices potentially reaching 107–108°F. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 27?
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 42%
102-103°F 25%
98-99°F 14%
96-97°F 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
95°F or below
$11 Обс.
1%
96-97°F
$2 Обс.
8%
98-99°F
$0 Обс.
14%
100-101°F
$46 Обс.
42%
102-103°F
$26 Обс.
25%
104-105°F
$279 Обс.
7%
106-107°F
$30 Обс.
5%
108-109°F
$10 Обс.
3%
110-111°F
$10 Обс.
1%
112-113°F
$240 Обс.
<1%
114°F or higher
$206 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101–102°F for Austin on August 27, 2026, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% potentially limiting further warming.** This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 100–101°F (42%) and 102–103°F (25.5%), reflecting recent persistent heat under a strong mid-level ridge and surface flow patterns that have produced 100–105°F readings through late August. Minor model spread arises from timing of any convective development, which could introduce localized cooling or maintain higher readings depending on cloud cover and precipitation. Historical late-August climatology supports highs in this range when storms remain scattered, with heat indices potentially reaching 107–108°F. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$860Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101–102°F for Austin on August 27, 2026, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% potentially limiting further warming.** This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 100–101°F (42%) and 102–103°F (25.5%), reflecting recent persistent heat under a strong mid-level ridge and surface flow patterns that have produced 100–105°F readings through late August. Minor model spread arises from timing of any convective development, which could introduce localized cooling or maintain higher readings depending on cloud cover and precipitation. Historical late-August climatology supports highs in this range when storms remain scattered, with heat indices potentially reaching 107–108°F. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$860Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models points to a high near 101–102°F for Austin on August 27, 2026, with afternoon thunderstorm chances of 30–40% potentially limiting further warming.** This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring 100–101°F (42%) and 102–103°F (25.5%), reflecting recent persistent heat under a strong mid-level ridge and surface flow patterns that have produced 100–105°F readings through late August. Minor model spread arises from timing of any convective development, which could introduce localized cooling or maintain higher readings depending on cloud cover and precipitation. Historical late-August climatology supports highs in this range when storms remain scattered, with heat indices potentially reaching 107–108°F. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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