Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 27, with the minimum temperature most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours amid partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F ranges. Slight differences in outcomes hinge on exact timing of any precipitation, humidity levels near 45–70%, and light southerly winds that could either enhance or suppress heat retention. Official guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service highlights model uncertainty in storm coverage, which traders weigh against historical August baselines where similar setups often yield lows near 75°F. Updated forecast runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 27?
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
6%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
4%
88°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 27%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
69°F or below
$22 Обс.
6%
70-71°F
$22 Обс.
19%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
26%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
27%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
32%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
27%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
27%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
25%
84-85°F
$27 Обс.
16%
86-87°F
$102 Обс.
4%
88°F or higher
$156 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 27, with the minimum temperature most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours amid partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F ranges. Slight differences in outcomes hinge on exact timing of any precipitation, humidity levels near 45–70%, and light southerly winds that could either enhance or suppress heat retention. Official guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service highlights model uncertainty in storm coverage, which traders weigh against historical August baselines where similar setups often yield lows near 75°F. Updated forecast runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$328Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 27, with the minimum temperature most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours amid partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F ranges. Slight differences in outcomes hinge on exact timing of any precipitation, humidity levels near 45–70%, and light southerly winds that could either enhance or suppress heat retention. Official guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service highlights model uncertainty in storm coverage, which traders weigh against historical August baselines where similar setups often yield lows near 75°F. Updated forecast runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$328Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models indicates an overnight low in the mid-70s for Austin on August 27, with the minimum temperature most likely occurring in the pre-dawn hours amid partly cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clear nights, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 74–79°F ranges. Slight differences in outcomes hinge on exact timing of any precipitation, humidity levels near 45–70%, and light southerly winds that could either enhance or suppress heat retention. Official guidance from agencies like the National Weather Service highlights model uncertainty in storm coverage, which traders weigh against historical August baselines where similar setups often yield lows near 75°F. Updated forecast runs ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання