**Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin, including Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F early on August 28, 2026, under a dominant high-pressure ridge.** This warm air mass limited overnight radiational cooling despite clear skies, producing above-normal lows compared to the 1991–2020 average of roughly 72°F. Persistent dry conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern across Central Texas. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 74–75°F bin because these verified readings align precisely with that resolution threshold, while lower outcomes would require atypical cooling not supported by the data. Traders monitoring real-time station reports and model consensus on the stable warm regime drove this positioning ahead of final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 28?
74-75°F 51%
72-73°F 14%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$1,268 Обс.
$1,268 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
14%
74-75°F
51%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 51%
72-73°F 14%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
$1,268 Обс.
$1,268 Обс.
Aug 28, 2026
69°F or below
$68 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$56 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$84 Обс.
14%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
51%
76-77°F
$669 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$94 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$66 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$63 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$56 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$55 Обс.
<1%
88°F or higher
$55 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin, including Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F early on August 28, 2026, under a dominant high-pressure ridge.** This warm air mass limited overnight radiational cooling despite clear skies, producing above-normal lows compared to the 1991–2020 average of roughly 72°F. Persistent dry conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern across Central Texas. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 74–75°F bin because these verified readings align precisely with that resolution threshold, while lower outcomes would require atypical cooling not supported by the data. Traders monitoring real-time station reports and model consensus on the stable warm regime drove this positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,268Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin, including Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F early on August 28, 2026, under a dominant high-pressure ridge.** This warm air mass limited overnight radiational cooling despite clear skies, producing above-normal lows compared to the 1991–2020 average of roughly 72°F. Persistent dry conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern across Central Texas. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 74–75°F bin because these verified readings align precisely with that resolution threshold, while lower outcomes would require atypical cooling not supported by the data. Traders monitoring real-time station reports and model consensus on the stable warm regime drove this positioning ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,268Дата завершення
Aug 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official observations from National Weather Service stations in Austin, including Camp Mabry and Austin-Bergstrom, recorded a minimum temperature of 75°F early on August 28, 2026, under a dominant high-pressure ridge.** This warm air mass limited overnight radiational cooling despite clear skies, producing above-normal lows compared to the 1991–2020 average of roughly 72°F. Persistent dry conditions and minimal cloud cover or precipitation further suppressed temperature drops, consistent with the ongoing late-summer heat pattern across Central Texas. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 74–75°F bin because these verified readings align precisely with that resolution threshold, while lower outcomes would require atypical cooling not supported by the data. Traders monitoring real-time station reports and model consensus on the stable warm regime drove this positioning ahead of final verification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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