**Recent forecasts indicate a high near 23–24°C for Munich on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top probabilities (25°C at 39.5%, 24°C at 29.5%, 26°C at 15.5%).** Multiple models, including outputs reflected in sources such as globalmeteo, WeatherBug, weather-atlas, and Yr.no, converge on this range after warmer conditions earlier in the week. A weather system bringing increased cloud cover, westerly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—particularly evident on August 28—will suppress daytime heating on the 29th. This produces a cooler profile than the seasonal average high of ~22.8°C and far below recent peaks near 29–32°C. Afternoon clearing in some runs allows temperatures to reach the low-to-mid 20s°C, while any lingering rain or thicker cloud would cap the maximum lower. Traders appear to weight the model consensus heavily, with limited dispersion around 24–25°C reflecting typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature two days out. Minor shifts in the timing of frontal passage or precipitation could still nudge the observed high by 1–2°C, but current guidance supports the clustered probabilities rather than outliers above 27°C or below 22°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 29?
25°C 40%
24°C 30%
26°C 16%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
30%
25°C
40%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 40%
24°C 30%
26°C 16%
23°C 8%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
30%
25°C
40%
26°C
16%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts indicate a high near 23–24°C for Munich on August 29, 2026, aligning closely with the market’s top probabilities (25°C at 39.5%, 24°C at 29.5%, 26°C at 15.5%).** Multiple models, including outputs reflected in sources such as globalmeteo, WeatherBug, weather-atlas, and Yr.no, converge on this range after warmer conditions earlier in the week. A weather system bringing increased cloud cover, westerly flow, and scattered showers or thunderstorms—particularly evident on August 28—will suppress daytime heating on the 29th. This produces a cooler profile than the seasonal average high of ~22.8°C and far below recent peaks near 29–32°C. Afternoon clearing in some runs allows temperatures to reach the low-to-mid 20s°C, while any lingering rain or thicker cloud would cap the maximum lower. Traders appear to weight the model consensus heavily, with limited dispersion around 24–25°C reflecting typical forecast uncertainty in maximum temperature two days out. Minor shifts in the timing of frontal passage or precipitation could still nudge the observed high by 1–2°C, but current guidance supports the clustered probabilities rather than outliers above 27°C or below 22°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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