**Forecast consensus from Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models points to a daytime maximum near 17–18°C on August 27 under a southeasterly flow behind a cold front.** This system, associated with the seasonal Santa Rosa pattern, brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (40–70% probability), and moderate winds that limit surface heating. Typical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires shows highs of 15–17°C; the current setup features suppressed insolation from stratiform clouds and onshore maritime air, keeping the peak temperature range narrow. Model runs exhibit modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds centered on 18–19°C reflect traders’ weighting of this forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
11%
18°C
28%
19°C
36%
20°C
18%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 36%
18°C 28%
20°C 18%
17°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Обс.
3%
15°C
$33 Обс.
2%
16°C
$51 Обс.
5%
17°C
$242 Обс.
11%
18°C
$397 Обс.
28%
19°C
$112 Обс.
36%
20°C
$0 Обс.
18%
21°C
$16 Обс.
4%
22°C
$96 Обс.
2%
23°C
$5 Обс.
1%
24°C or higher
$5 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models points to a daytime maximum near 17–18°C on August 27 under a southeasterly flow behind a cold front.** This system, associated with the seasonal Santa Rosa pattern, brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (40–70% probability), and moderate winds that limit surface heating. Typical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires shows highs of 15–17°C; the current setup features suppressed insolation from stratiform clouds and onshore maritime air, keeping the peak temperature range narrow. Model runs exhibit modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds centered on 18–19°C reflect traders’ weighting of this forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$963Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models points to a daytime maximum near 17–18°C on August 27 under a southeasterly flow behind a cold front.** This system, associated with the seasonal Santa Rosa pattern, brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (40–70% probability), and moderate winds that limit surface heating. Typical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires shows highs of 15–17°C; the current setup features suppressed insolation from stratiform clouds and onshore maritime air, keeping the peak temperature range narrow. Model runs exhibit modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds centered on 18–19°C reflect traders’ weighting of this forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$963Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from Argentine Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international models points to a daytime maximum near 17–18°C on August 27 under a southeasterly flow behind a cold front.** This system, associated with the seasonal Santa Rosa pattern, brings increased cloud cover, scattered showers or thunderstorms (40–70% probability), and moderate winds that limit surface heating. Typical late-August climatology for Buenos Aires shows highs of 15–17°C; the current setup features suppressed insolation from stratiform clouds and onshore maritime air, keeping the peak temperature range narrow. Model runs exhibit modest spread around these values, with slight upside risk if clearing occurs earlier than expected. Market-implied odds centered on 18–19°C reflect traders’ weighting of this forecast uncertainty and resolution criteria tied to official observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання