Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26 most likely falling between 8–10°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under mild winter conditions are moderating overnight lows after recent cooler readings near 5–7°C earlier in the month. Historical August averages near 7°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 8°C support the central range over colder extremes or warmer 13°C+ scenarios. Traders are weighing model consensus against potential forecast shifts ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26?
4°C or below 68%
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 28%
8°C 27%
4°C or below
68%
5°C
12%
6°C
23%
7°C
23%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
28%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
19%
14°C or higher
49%
4°C or below 68%
14°C or higher 49%
10°C 28%
8°C 27%
4°C or below
68%
5°C
12%
6°C
23%
7°C
23%
8°C
27%
9°C
26%
10°C
28%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
19%
14°C or higher
49%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 26 most likely falling between 8–10°C, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Northeast winds, increasing cloud cover, and limited radiative cooling under mild winter conditions are moderating overnight lows after recent cooler readings near 5–7°C earlier in the month. Historical August averages near 7°C provide context, yet current steering patterns and dew points near 8°C support the central range over colder extremes or warmer 13°C+ scenarios. Traders are weighing model consensus against potential forecast shifts ahead of final observations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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