Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows for Buenos Aires on August 27 centered near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 10–12 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of southeasterly flow associated with a passing frontal system, which limits radiative cooling under increased cloud cover and light precipitation. Clearer breaks or weaker winds could allow greater nocturnal heat loss toward 9–10 °C, while stronger advection of milder maritime air would support minima closer to 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical pre-dawn lows near 11 °C, modulated this season by below-average early-month temperatures and variable humidity levels that affect dew-point depression and surface energy balance. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine the resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 27?
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
10°C 27%
8°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
5%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
23%
16°C or higher
6%
11°C 27%
12°C 27%
10°C 27%
8°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 27, 2026
6°C or below
$84 Обс.
1%
7°C
$11 Обс.
5%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
26%
10°C
$0 Обс.
27%
11°C
$0 Обс.
27%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
26%
15°C
$0 Обс.
23%
16°C or higher
$127 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows for Buenos Aires on August 27 centered near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 10–12 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of southeasterly flow associated with a passing frontal system, which limits radiative cooling under increased cloud cover and light precipitation. Clearer breaks or weaker winds could allow greater nocturnal heat loss toward 9–10 °C, while stronger advection of milder maritime air would support minima closer to 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical pre-dawn lows near 11 °C, modulated this season by below-average early-month temperatures and variable humidity levels that affect dew-point depression and surface energy balance. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine the resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$221Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows for Buenos Aires on August 27 centered near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 10–12 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of southeasterly flow associated with a passing frontal system, which limits radiative cooling under increased cloud cover and light precipitation. Clearer breaks or weaker winds could allow greater nocturnal heat loss toward 9–10 °C, while stronger advection of milder maritime air would support minima closer to 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical pre-dawn lows near 11 °C, modulated this season by below-average early-month temperatures and variable humidity levels that affect dew-point depression and surface energy balance. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine the resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$221Дата завершення
Aug 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate overnight lows for Buenos Aires on August 27 centered near 11–12 °C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered around 10–12 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include the timing and coverage of southeasterly flow associated with a passing frontal system, which limits radiative cooling under increased cloud cover and light precipitation. Clearer breaks or weaker winds could allow greater nocturnal heat loss toward 9–10 °C, while stronger advection of milder maritime air would support minima closer to 13 °C. Historical August climatology shows typical pre-dawn lows near 11 °C, modulated this season by below-average early-month temperatures and variable humidity levels that affect dew-point depression and surface energy balance. Updated model guidance expected later today will likely refine the resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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