Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow across Luzon, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity over Metro Manila on August 29. These conditions limit solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a 25–27 °C range for the day, while international models (GFS, Met Office, ECMWF) converge on 27–29 °C peaks amid 90–100 % rain probabilities and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s. This monsoon-driven cooling aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 28 °C (32 %) and 29 °C (44 %), with lower probabilities for 30 °C+ reflecting limited potential for brief clearing. Traders are monitoring the latest PAGASA updates and model runs ahead of the day’s peak heating window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Manila on August 29?
29°C 44%
28°C 31%
30°C 16%
27°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
44%
30°C
16%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 44%
28°C 31%
30°C 16%
27°C 8%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
31%
29°C
44%
30°C
16%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow across Luzon, reinforced by a nearby low-pressure area, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity over Metro Manila on August 29. These conditions limit solar heating and suppress maximum temperatures. PAGASA’s official outlook projects a 25–27 °C range for the day, while international models (GFS, Met Office, ECMWF) converge on 27–29 °C peaks amid 90–100 % rain probabilities and southwest winds of 10–15 m/s. This monsoon-driven cooling aligns with the market’s strong weighting toward 28 °C (32 %) and 29 °C (44 %), with lower probabilities for 30 °C+ reflecting limited potential for brief clearing. Traders are monitoring the latest PAGASA updates and model runs ahead of the day’s peak heating window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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