Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila into August 29. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Official guidance from PAGASA and global models shows minimum temperatures most likely in the 25–27 °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflects this stability yet assigns non-negligible probability to warmer outcomes above 30 °C if convective rain persists through the night, while cooler readings below 24 °C would require an atypical clear-sky window that current steering patterns and moisture do not favor.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 29?
31°C or higher 80%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
10%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
27%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
80%
31°C or higher 80%
28°C 49%
29°C 49%
25°C 31%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
21°C or below
$135 Обс.
10%
22°C
$54 Обс.
7%
23°C
$34 Обс.
24%
24°C
$0 Обс.
27%
25°C
$0 Обс.
31%
26°C
$0 Обс.
27%
27°C
$0 Обс.
26%
28°C
$5 Обс.
49%
29°C
$5 Обс.
49%
30°C
$5 Обс.
2%
31°C or higher
$5 Обс.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila into August 29. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Official guidance from PAGASA and global models shows minimum temperatures most likely in the 25–27 °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflects this stability yet assigns non-negligible probability to warmer outcomes above 30 °C if convective rain persists through the night, while cooler readings below 24 °C would require an atypical clear-sky window that current steering patterns and moisture do not favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Обсяг
$243Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila into August 29. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Official guidance from PAGASA and global models shows minimum temperatures most likely in the 25–27 °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflects this stability yet assigns non-negligible probability to warmer outcomes above 30 °C if convective rain persists through the night, while cooler readings below 24 °C would require an atypical clear-sky window that current steering patterns and moisture do not favor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$243Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:32 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon flow, reinforced by a low-pressure area east of northern Luzon, is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy thunderstorms, and elevated humidity across Metro Manila into August 29. These conditions suppress nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or above the seasonal average of 25–26 °C. Official guidance from PAGASA and global models shows minimum temperatures most likely in the 25–27 °C range, with only modest day-to-day variability. Trader consensus reflects this stability yet assigns non-negligible probability to warmer outcomes above 30 °C if convective rain persists through the night, while cooler readings below 24 °C would require an atypical clear-sky window that current steering patterns and moisture do not favor.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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