Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models, including those aligned with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical daily highs range 15–18°C with low precipitation risk. The market's heaviest implied probabilities on 19–21°C appear driven by trader weighting of potential localized warming or minor model biases in boundary-layer temperatures, though current guidance shows limited scope for exceeding 18°C without unexpected warm advection. Overnight updates from global models will refine the exact peak ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 29?
20°C 47%
19°C 23%
21°C 17%
18°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
23%
20°C
47%
21°C
17%
22°C
5%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
19°C 23%
21°C 17%
18°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$500 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$185 Обс.
1%
16°C
$80 Обс.
2%
17°C
$0 Обс.
4%
18°C
$89 Обс.
9%
19°C
$334 Обс.
23%
20°C
$877 Обс.
47%
21°C
$146 Обс.
17%
22°C
$54 Обс.
5%
23°C
$36 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$143 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models, including those aligned with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical daily highs range 15–18°C with low precipitation risk. The market's heaviest implied probabilities on 19–21°C appear driven by trader weighting of potential localized warming or minor model biases in boundary-layer temperatures, though current guidance shows limited scope for exceeding 18°C without unexpected warm advection. Overnight updates from global models will refine the exact peak ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,444Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models, including those aligned with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical daily highs range 15–18°C with low precipitation risk. The market's heaviest implied probabilities on 19–21°C appear driven by trader weighting of potential localized warming or minor model biases in boundary-layer temperatures, though current guidance shows limited scope for exceeding 18°C without unexpected warm advection. Overnight updates from global models will refine the exact peak ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,444Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple numerical weather models, including those aligned with the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature of 16–17°C in Buenos Aires on August 29 under stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-winter climatology, where typical daily highs range 15–18°C with low precipitation risk. The market's heaviest implied probabilities on 19–21°C appear driven by trader weighting of potential localized warming or minor model biases in boundary-layer temperatures, though current guidance shows limited scope for exceeding 18°C without unexpected warm advection. Overnight updates from global models will refine the exact peak ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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